Mario Bautista vs Brian Kelleher Pre-Fight Prediction ufcpicks ufc ufcbreakdown ufcfightnight

Brian Kelleher will face off against Mario Bautista at UFC Vegas 57 on Saturday, June 25, 2022. The moneyline has Kelleher priced at +135 while Bautista is at -155.Brian "Boom" Kelleher looks to add a victory to his record of 24-13-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The switch fighter reaches 66". Mario Bautista measures 5'9" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Brian Kelleher is connecting on 3.41 per min while Mario Bautista lands 5.42 significant strikes per min. Kelleher is landing 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bautista connects on 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Boom" allows 4.66 significant strikes per min while Bautista allows 4.13. Kelleher also curbs 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Bautista is able to stop 56% of the strikes thrown in his direction. When it comes to wrestling, Brian Kelleher is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.82 times per 3 rounds. Kelleher is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of his tries and is defending 63% of all takedown attempts. Bautista is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 66% of the attempts against him. In terms of submissions, Kelleher is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Bautista looks to get 0.3 subs per 15 minutes. The last time he fought, Brian Kelleher faced Umar Nurmagomedov and wound up walking away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Nurmagomedov landed 21 of 29 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Kelleher finished this fight landing 1 of 19 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Nurmagomedov landed 18 of 26, giving him a percentage of 69%. He finished the fight landing 9 of 15 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Kelleher ended up landing 5% of his significant strikes by connecting on 1 of 19. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 0 of 13 aimed at the head. 72% of the significant strikes connected on by Nurmagomedov and 100% of them connected on by Kelleher were done at distance.In the last Octagon appearance for Mario Bautista, he battled Jay Perrin and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Perrin landed 78% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Bautista landed 54% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bautista ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 72 of 125. He ended up connecting on 43 of 86 significant strikes to the head. Perrin connected on 42 of 107 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 16 of 67 directed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Perrin landed 57 of 122 while Bautista landed 112 of 173 total strikes.

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